Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Sergipe?
Resolved Yes. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Yes 100%
$2.7K
-$483.83
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
QM QMG-CORE | Yesavg 99.3¢ | $2.0K | $2.1K | -$497.19 | 77% 1341-396 (1737) |
ZX zxc368 | Yesavg 99.8¢ | $410.99 | $411.75 | +$0.76 | 99% 10488-150 (10638) |
0X 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836 | Yesavg 91¢ | $140 | $140 | +$12.6 | 60% 181-123 (304) |
 balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 2.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 63% 15568-9006 (24574) |
LI lissartter<$100 | Yesavg 94.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 42% 4992-6879 (11871) |
KO korda77CTR<$100 | Noavg 1.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 3034-2587 (5621) |
EL Elias.Thornwell<$100 | Yesavg 97.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 80% 10425-2657 (13082) |
 archaic<$100 | Yesavg 83.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 84% 1817-334 (2151) |
AJ AJSVCTR<$100 | Noavg 8.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 13604-23855 (37459) |
Invested
$2,022.74
Value
$2.1K
PnL
-$497.19
Record
77%
1341-396 (1737)
Invested
$410.99
Value
$411.75
PnL
+$0.76
Record
99%
10488-150 (10638)
Invested
$140
Value
$140
PnL
+$12.6
Record
60%
181-123 (304)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
15568-9006 (24574)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
4992-6879 (11871)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
3034-2587 (5621)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
80%
10425-2657 (13082)
archaic<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
84%
1817-334 (2151)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
13604-23855 (37459)
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