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0xdc3E831cadNo
Ryxon21NoNo
balthazar<$100NoNoYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina?
Resolved No. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 100%
Total Value
$778.61
Combined PnL
$42.22
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No5 traders
Total Value$778.61
Total Shares779
Combined PnL+$42.22
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 83%Yes — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0xdc3E831cad | Noavg 94.3¢ | $360.39 | $382.3 | +$26.69 | 50% 1781-1811 (3592) |
Ryxon21 | Noavg 96¢ | $243.38 | $253.46 | +$12.74 | 71% 271-113 (384) |
QM QMG-CORE | Noavg 99.3¢ | $141.85 | $142.85 | +$2.79 | 77% 1341-396 (1737) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 96¢ | — | — | +$0 | 63% 15568-9006 (24574) |
EL Elias.Thornwell<$100 | Noavg 98.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 80% 10425-2657 (13082) |
AJ AJSVCTR<$100 | Yesavg 6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 13604-23855 (37459) |
0xdc3E831cadInvested
$360.39
Value
$382.3
PnL
+$26.69
Record
50%
1781-1811 (3592)
Ryxon21Invested
$243.38
Value
$253.46
PnL
+$12.74
Record
71%
271-113 (384)
QM
QMG-COREInvested
$141.85
Value
$142.85
PnL
+$2.79
Record
77%
1341-396 (1737)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
15568-9006 (24574)
EL
Elias.Thornwell<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
80%
10425-2657 (13082)
AJ
AJSVCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
13604-23855 (37459)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6ce5cada...d692b3
Slug
will-lula-win-the-most-votes-in-the-second-round-of-the-brazil-presidential-election-from-santa-catarina