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No
balthazar<$100NoNoYesYes
2B9SCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Roraima?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 100%
Total Value
$132.56
Combined PnL
$16.63
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$132.56
Total Shares133
Combined PnL+$16.63
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 50%Yes — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836 | Noavg 87.5¢ | $115.93 | $132.56 | +$16.63 | 60% 181-123 (304) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 87.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 63% 15568-9006 (24574) |
12 123987456<$100 | Noavg 98.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 46% 1624-1897 (3521) |
KO korda77CTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 54% 3034-2587 (5621) |
AJ AJSVCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 13604-23855 (37459) |
2B9SCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 3382-15511 (18893) |
0X
0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Invested
$115.93
Value
$132.56
PnL
+$16.63
Record
60%
181-123 (304)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
15568-9006 (24574)
12
123987456<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
46%
1624-1897 (3521)
KO
korda77CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
3034-2587 (5621)
AJ
AJSVCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
13604-23855 (37459)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
3382-15511 (18893)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5a28a2e7...8c72be
Slug
will-lula-win-the-most-votes-in-the-second-round-of-the-brazil-presidential-election-from-roraima