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CoinTrickYesYes
Ryxon21Yes
balthazarCTR<$100NoNoYesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?
Resolved Yes. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 100%
Total Value
$1.8K
Combined PnL
$13.24
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 7 top traders (71%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes5 traders
Total Value$1.8K
Total Shares1,845
Combined PnL+$13.24
No2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 71%No — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CoinTrick | Yesavg 99.8¢ | $1.2K | $1.2K | +$2.44 | 98% 2622-64 (2686) |
QM QMG-CORE | Yesavg 99.5¢ | $365.55 | $367.39 | -$0.93 | 77% 1341-396 (1737) |
Ryxon21 | Yesavg 94.6¢ | $217.85 | $230.39 | +$11.72 | 71% 271-113 (384) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 63% 15568-9006 (24574) |
AL alex20011CTR<$100 | Noavg 6.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 60% 2438-1641 (4079) |
EL Elias.Thornwell<$100 | Yesavg 93¢ | — | — | +$0 | 80% 10425-2657 (13082) |
AJ AJSV<$100 | Yesavg 91.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 13604-23855 (37459) |
CoinTrickInvested
$1,246.9
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$2.44
Record
98%
2622-64 (2686)
QM
QMG-COREInvested
$365.55
Value
$367.39
PnL
-$0.93
Record
77%
1341-396 (1737)
Ryxon21Invested
$217.85
Value
$230.39
PnL
+$11.72
Record
71%
271-113 (384)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
15568-9006 (24574)
AL
alex20011CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
60%
2438-1641 (4079)
EL
Elias.Thornwell<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
80%
10425-2657 (13082)
AJ
AJSV<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
13604-23855 (37459)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf31e79a2...6c6dd8
Slug
will-lula-win-the-most-votes-in-the-second-round-of-the-brazil-presidential-election-from-rio-grande-do-norte