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Yes
Ryxon21Yes
balthazarCTR<$100NoNoYesNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Piauí?
Resolved Yes. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 100%
Total Value
$1.1K
Combined PnL
$33.04
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes3 traders
Total Value$1.1K
Total Shares1,066
Combined PnL+$33.04
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 50%No — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
QM QMG-CORE | Yesavg 99.6¢ | $659.35 | $661.88 | +$13.46 | 77% 1341-396 (1737) |
Ryxon21 | Yesavg 96.9¢ | $391.29 | $404.01 | +$19.59 | 71% 271-113 (384) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 0.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 63% 15568-9006 (24574) |
LI lissartterCTR<$100 | Noavg 9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 42% 4992-6879 (11871) |
EL Elias.Thornwell<$100 | Yesavg 97.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 80% 10425-2657 (13082) |
AJ AJSVCTR<$100 | Noavg 6.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 13604-23855 (37459) |
QM
QMG-COREInvested
$659.35
Value
$661.88
PnL
+$13.46
Record
77%
1341-396 (1737)
Ryxon21Invested
$391.29
Value
$404.01
PnL
+$19.59
Record
71%
271-113 (384)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
15568-9006 (24574)
LI
lissartterCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
4992-6879 (11871)
EL
Elias.Thornwell<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
80%
10425-2657 (13082)
AJ
AJSVCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
13604-23855 (37459)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xcb23ab19...b8b8a5
Slug
will-lula-win-the-most-votes-in-the-second-round-of-the-brazil-presidential-election-from-piaui