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Yes
balthazarCTR<$100NoYesYesNo
archaic<$100YesNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?
Resolved Yes. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 100%
Total Value
$2.1K
Combined PnL
$15.35
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 7 top traders (57%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$2.1K
Total Shares2,133
Combined PnL+$15.35
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 57%No — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
QM QMG-CORE | Yesavg 99.4¢ | $1.8K | $2.1K | +$15.35 | 77% 1341-396 (1737) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 3.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 63% 15568-9006 (24574) |
LI lissartter<$100 | Yesavg 90.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 42% 4992-6879 (11871) |
EL Elias.Thornwell<$100 | Yesavg 98¢ | — | — | +$0 | 80% 10425-2657 (13082) |
ME merodCTR<$100 | Noavg 1.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 1708-1323 (3031) |
archaic<$100 | Yesavg 94.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 84% 1817-334 (2151) |
AJ AJSVCTR<$100 | Noavg 6.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 13604-23855 (37459) |
QM
QMG-COREInvested
$1,817.59
Value
$2.1K
PnL
+$15.35
Record
77%
1341-396 (1737)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
15568-9006 (24574)
LI
lissartter<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
4992-6879 (11871)
EL
Elias.Thornwell<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
80%
10425-2657 (13082)
ME
merodCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
1708-1323 (3031)
archaic<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
84%
1817-334 (2151)
AJ
AJSVCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
13604-23855 (37459)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x07e9fbea...bd4a3a
Slug
will-lula-win-the-most-votes-in-the-second-round-of-the-brazil-presidential-election-from-paraiba