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Yes
CoinTrickYesYes
balthazarCTR<$100NoNo
IstarothCTR<$100NoNo
2B9SCTR<$100No
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?
Resolved Yes. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 100%
Total Value
$1.8K
Combined PnL
$3.98
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 8 top traders (38%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes3 traders
Total Value$1.8K
Total Shares1,786
Combined PnL+$3.98
No5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 38%No — 62%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
QM QMG-CORE | Yesavg 99.6¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | +$2.68 | 77% 1341-396 (1737) |
CoinTrick | Yesavg 99.8¢ | $667.4 | $667.4 | +$1.27 | 98% 2622-64 (2686) |
AV aviato<$100 | Yesavg 90¢ | $0.27 | $0.3 | +$0.03 | 86% 2383-404 (2787) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 3.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 63% 15568-9006 (24574) |
LI lissartterCTR<$100 | Noavg 4.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 42% 4992-6879 (11871) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Noavg 4.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 269-276 (545) |
AJ AJSVCTR<$100 | Noavg 6.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 13604-23855 (37459) |
2B9SCTR<$100 | Noavg 0.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 3382-15511 (18893) |
QM
QMG-COREInvested
$1,113.5
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$2.68
Record
77%
1341-396 (1737)
CoinTrickInvested
$667.4
Value
$667.4
PnL
+$1.27
Record
98%
2622-64 (2686)
AV
aviato<$100Invested
$0.27
Value
$0.3
PnL
+$0.03
Record
86%
2383-404 (2787)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
15568-9006 (24574)
LI
lissartterCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
4992-6879 (11871)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
269-276 (545)
AJ
AJSVCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
13604-23855 (37459)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
3382-15511 (18893)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x3bbc4ae0...7b1785
Slug
will-lula-win-the-most-votes-in-the-second-round-of-the-brazil-presidential-election-from-maranhao