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YesYes
balthazarCTR<$100NoNoNoYes
archaic<$100YesNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Ceará?
Resolved Yes. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 100%
Total Value
$504.28
Combined PnL
-$0.53
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$504.28
Total Shares504
Combined PnL-$0.53
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 50%No — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZX zxc368 | Yesavg 99.8¢ | $309.01 | $309.58 | +$0.57 | 99% 10488-150 (10638) |
QM QMG-CORE | Yesavg 99.5¢ | $193.73 | $194.7 | -$1.1 | 77% 1341-396 (1737) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 1.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 63% 15568-9006 (24574) |
LI lissartterCTR<$100 | Noavg 12¢ | — | — | +$0 | 42% 4992-6879 (11871) |
KO korda77CTR<$100 | Noavg 0.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 3034-2587 (5621) |
ME merod<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 56% 1708-1323 (3031) |
archaic<$100 | Yesavg 96.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 84% 1817-334 (2151) |
AJ AJSVCTR<$100 | Noavg 4.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 13604-23855 (37459) |
ZX
zxc368Invested
$309.01
Value
$309.58
PnL
+$0.57
Record
99%
10488-150 (10638)
QM
QMG-COREInvested
$193.73
Value
$194.7
PnL
-$1.1
Record
77%
1341-396 (1737)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
15568-9006 (24574)
LI
lissartterCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
4992-6879 (11871)
KO
korda77CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
3034-2587 (5621)
ME
merod<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
1708-1323 (3031)
archaic<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
84%
1817-334 (2151)
AJ
AJSVCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
13604-23855 (37459)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xfae1e2e9...3ef346
Slug
will-lula-win-the-most-votes-in-the-second-round-of-the-brazil-presidential-election-from-ceara