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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Lautaro Martinez finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Resolved No. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
Yes 44%
Total Value
$192.59
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 9 top traders (44%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x063d64e9...aa8fe0
Slug
will-lautaro-martinez-finish-3rd-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019143424322