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No
balthazar<$100NoNoNo
TimeTravelerCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Lamine Yamal finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 100%
Total Value
$24
Combined PnL
$0.9
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$24
Total Shares24
Combined PnL+$0.9
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 80%Yes — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xbeEf3f30B4188470347542ecD64b5470418e620e-1787058048438<$100 | Noavg 96.3¢ | $24 | $24 | +$0.9 | 54% 302-257 (559) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 97.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 62% 20216-12621 (32837) |
BI Bigggggggg<$100 | Noavg 97.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 45% 2698-3242 (5940) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 97.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 12546-9489 (22035) |
TimeTravelerCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 41% 1925-2728 (4653) |
0X
0xbeEf3f30B4188470347542ecD64b5470418e620e-1787058048438<$100Invested
$24
Value
$24
PnL
+$0.9
Record
54%
302-257 (559)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
62%
20216-12621 (32837)
BI
Bigggggggg<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
45%
2698-3242 (5940)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
12546-9489 (22035)
TimeTravelerCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
41%
1925-2728 (4653)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7e657532...ee419b
Slug
will-lamine-yamal-finish-4th-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019193417541