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No
balthazar<$100NoNoYes
TimeTraveler<$100NoYesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Kylian Mbappé finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Resolved No. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 100%
Total Value
$1.9K
Combined PnL
$31.16
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 7 top traders (57%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$1.9K
Total Shares1,942
Combined PnL+$31.16
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 57%Yes — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Noavg 98.4¢ | $2.0K | $1.9K | +$31.16 | 53% 6127-5381 (11508) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 97.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 62% 20216-12621 (32837) |
BI Bigggggggg<$100 | Noavg 98.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 45% 2698-3242 (5940) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 12546-9489 (22035) |
TimeTraveler<$100 | Noavg 80¢ | — | — | +$0 | 41% 1925-2728 (4653) |
0X 0xbeEf3f30B4188470347542ecD64b5470418e620e-1787058048438CTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 302-257 (559) |
LE leegunnerCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 42% 1262-1766 (3028) |
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedInvested
$1,992.44
Value
$1.9K
PnL
+$31.16
Record
53%
6127-5381 (11508)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
62%
20216-12621 (32837)
BI
Bigggggggg<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
45%
2698-3242 (5940)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
12546-9489 (22035)
TimeTraveler<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
41%
1925-2728 (4653)
0X
0xbeEf3f30B4188470347542ecD64b5470418e620e-1787058048438CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
302-257 (559)
LE
leegunnerCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
1262-1766 (3028)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x89d20d0a...4b6559
Slug
will-kylian-mbappe-finish-4th-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019193417541