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NoYesYes
balthazar<$100NoYes
TimeTravelerCTR<$100YesNo
IstarothCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Resolved No. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 67%
Total Value
$100.01
Combined PnL
-$140.27
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$100.01
Total Shares100
Combined PnL+$0.2
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,292
Combined PnL-$140.47
No — 38%Yes — 62%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZX zxc368 | Noavg 99.8¢ | $100.01 | $100.01 | +$0.2 | 99% 12524-178 (12702) |
NI niceqqqqq3CTR | Yesavg 12.3¢ | $10.18 | — | -$139.06 | 53% 16-14 (30) |
0X 0xbeEf3f30B4188470347542ecD64b5470418e620e-1787058048438CTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.4¢ | $1.42 | — | -$1.42 | 54% 302-257 (559) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 90.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 62% 20216-12621 (32837) |
BI BiggggggggCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 45% 2698-3242 (5940) |
TimeTravelerCTR<$100 | Yesavg 7.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 41% 1925-2728 (4653) |
ME merod<$100 | Noavg 80.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 2372-2159 (4531) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Yesavg 13¢ | — | — | +$0 | 37% 273-472 (745) |
ZX
zxc368Invested
$100.01
Value
$100.01
PnL
+$0.2
Record
99%
12524-178 (12702)
NI
niceqqqqq3CTRInvested
$10.18
Value
—
PnL
-$139.06
Record
53%
16-14 (30)
0X
0xbeEf3f30B4188470347542ecD64b5470418e620e-1787058048438CTR<$100Invested
$1.42
Value
—
PnL
-$1.42
Record
54%
302-257 (559)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
62%
20216-12621 (32837)
BI
BiggggggggCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
45%
2698-3242 (5940)
TimeTravelerCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
41%
1925-2728 (4653)
ME
merod<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
2372-2159 (4531)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
37%
273-472 (745)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7b351155...5c05bf
Slug
will-khvicha-kvaratskhelia-finish-5th-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019193417541