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No
balthazarNoNoYes
2B9SCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Jozef Ráž win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 60%
Total Value
$457.38
Combined PnL
-$34.47
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$457.38
Total Shares457
Combined PnL-$20.97
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares275
Combined PnL-$13.5
No — 60%Yes — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AJ AJSV | Noavg 91.4¢ | $315.67 | $170.11 | -$25.23 | 36% 12921-22626 (35547) |
balthazar | Noavg 94.7¢ | $141.39 | $149.27 | +$3.49 | 64% 12621-7155 (19776) |
ME merod | Noavg 96.5¢ | $133.17 | $138 | +$0.77 | 55% 1467-1219 (2686) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5¢ | $17.81 | — | -$9.44 | 56% 3384-2637 (6021) |
2B9SCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.9¢ | $4.06 | — | -$4.06 | 17% 3134-14844 (17978) |
AJ
AJSVInvested
$315.67
Value
$170.11
PnL
-$25.23
Record
36%
12921-22626 (35547)
balthazarInvested
$141.39
Value
$149.27
PnL
+$3.49
Record
64%
12621-7155 (19776)
ME
merodInvested
$133.17
Value
$138
PnL
+$0.77
Record
55%
1467-1219 (2686)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
$17.81
Value
—
PnL
-$9.44
Record
56%
3384-2637 (6021)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
$4.06
Value
—
PnL
-$4.06
Record
17%
3134-14844 (17978)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x24e179fa...46d026
Slug
will-jozef-raz-win-the-2026-bratislava-mayoral-election