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No
viniiNoNo
crypto-basenjiCTR<$100Yes
-Dominus-<$100NoYes
Resolution Proposed
A resolution has been proposed and is in the challenge window. Awaiting UMA oracle settlement.
Will João Neves finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
4 of 6 top Polymarket traders hold No (67%) · No at 99¢ · $1K held · awaiting resolution
PENDING
⏳
Pending
Consensus Traders
6
No 67%
Total Value
$1.2K
Combined PnL
-$63.09
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes1%
No99%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$1.2K
Total Shares1,180
Combined PnL-$21.53
Yes2 traders
Total Value$56.76
Total Shares1,774
Combined PnL-$41.56
No — 67%Yes — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZX zxc368 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $535.46 | $530.64 | -$4.82 | 99% 11859-169 (12028) |
vinii | Noavg 99.8¢ | $451.91 | $434.32 | -$17.59 | 73% 2599-947 (3546) |
NO nonkenny90 | Noavg 96.9¢ | $156.98 | $158.36 | +$1.94 | 89% 4398-538 (4936) |
crypto-basenjiCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.6¢ | $60 | $53.76 | -$28.53 | 40% 157-239 (396) |
-Dominus-<$100 | Noavg 99.5¢ | $29.44 | $28.38 | -$1.07 | 67% 305-149 (454) |
AB ABC12345654321CTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.5¢ | $16.04 | $3.01 | -$13.03 | 51% 1622-1583 (3205) |
ZX
zxc368Invested
$535.46
Value
$530.64
PnL
-$4.82
Record
99%
11859-169 (12028)
viniiInvested
$451.91
Value
$434.32
PnL
-$17.59
Record
73%
2599-947 (3546)
NO
nonkenny90Invested
$156.98
Value
$158.36
PnL
+$1.94
Record
89%
4398-538 (4936)
crypto-basenjiCTR<$100Invested
$60
Value
$53.76
PnL
-$28.53
Record
40%
157-239 (396)
-Dominus-<$100Invested
$29.44
Value
$28.38
PnL
-$1.07
Record
67%
305-149 (454)
AB
ABC12345654321CTR<$100Invested
$16.04
Value
$3.01
PnL
-$13.03
Record
51%
1622-1583 (3205)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x580d6ee2...4eae7e
Slug
will-joao-neves-finish-in-the-top-10-of-the-2026-ballon-dor