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paddaaNoNoYes
balthazar<$100NoYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Jaroslav Polaček win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 60%
Total Value
$1.2K
Combined PnL
-$70.92
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$961.49
Total Shares961
Combined PnL+$286.9
Yes2 traders
Total Value$212.63
Total Shares1,051
Combined PnL-$357.83
No — 60%Yes — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
paddaa | Noavg 69.8¢ | $387.45 | $555.44 | +$167.98 | 57% 789-602 (1391) |
KI KiernanMeister | Noavg 60.9¢ | $194.7 | $319.93 | +$125.23 | 52% 977-904 (1881) |
AJ AJSVCTR | Yesavg 38.3¢ | $512.89 | $212.63 | -$307.8 | 36% 12837-22501 (35338) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 95.2¢ | $81.97 | $86.12 | -$6.32 | 64% 12326-6985 (19311) |
SN SnoorrasonCTR<$100 | Yesavg 14.5¢ | $50.03 | — | -$50.03 | 39% 1114-1731 (2845) |
paddaaInvested
$387.45
Value
$555.44
PnL
+$167.98
Record
57%
789-602 (1391)
KI
KiernanMeisterInvested
$194.7
Value
$319.93
PnL
+$125.23
Record
52%
977-904 (1881)
AJ
AJSVCTRInvested
$512.89
Value
$212.63
PnL
-$307.8
Record
36%
12837-22501 (35338)
balthazar<$100Invested
$81.97
Value
$86.12
PnL
-$6.32
Record
64%
12326-6985 (19311)
SN
SnoorrasonCTR<$100Invested
$50.03
Value
—
PnL
-$50.03
Record
39%
1114-1731 (2845)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa8069a25...3ee8ab
Slug
will-jaroslav-polacek-win-the-2026-kosice-mayoral-election