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No
balthazarNoNo
Istaroth<$100No
2B9SCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Jagrup Brar win the next Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 80%
Total Value
$554.7
Combined PnL
$70.53
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$554.36
Total Shares554
Combined PnL+$78.56
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0.34
Total Shares20
Combined PnL-$8.03
No — 80%Yes — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AJ AJSV | Noavg 58.6¢ | $575.33 | $419.92 | +$68.28 | 36% 12837-22501 (35338) |
balthazar | Noavg 86¢ | $94.58 | $109.98 | +$12.32 | 64% 12326-6985 (19311) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100 | Noavg 48¢ | $9.78 | $20.38 | +$0 | 33% 2295-4675 (6970) |
Istaroth<$100 | Noavg 57¢ | $21.41 | $4.08 | -$2.04 | 55% 264-213 (477) |
2B9SCTR<$100 | Yesavg 40¢ | $8.2 | $0.34 | -$8.03 | 17% 3041-14683 (17724) |
AJ
AJSVInvested
$575.33
Value
$419.92
PnL
+$68.28
Record
36%
12837-22501 (35338)
balthazarInvested
$94.58
Value
$109.98
PnL
+$12.32
Record
64%
12326-6985 (19311)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100Invested
$9.78
Value
$20.38
PnL
+$0
Record
33%
2295-4675 (6970)
Istaroth<$100Invested
$21.41
Value
$4.08
PnL
-$2.04
Record
55%
264-213 (477)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
$8.2
Value
$0.34
PnL
-$8.03
Record
17%
3041-14683 (17724)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1d7c5eca...9421ba
Slug
will-jagrup-brar-win-the-next-surrey-fleetwood-british-columbia-legislative-assembly-election