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Yes
balthazar<$100NoNoNoYes Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Yes β but No won instead.

Will Harwinder Sandhu win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$36.1
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares311
Combined PnL+$36.1
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes β 40%No β 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AJ AJSVCTR<$100 | Yesavg 16.1Β’ | $91.2 | β | +$36.1 | 36% 12781-22373 (35154) |
![]() balthazar<$100 | Noavg 88Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 64% 11992-6689 (18681) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100 | Noavg 85Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 36% 2237-3925 (6162) |
RL RLWG<$100 | Noavg 91Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 51% 3533-3400 (6933) |
KI KiernanMeisterCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.3Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 52% 973-895 (1868) |
AJ
AJSVCTR<$100Invested
$91.2
Value
β
PnL
+$36.1
Record
36%
12781-22373 (35154)
balthazar<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
64%
11992-6689 (18681)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
2237-3925 (6162)
RL
RLWG<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
3533-3400 (6933)
KI
KiernanMeisterCTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
973-895 (1868)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe3578494...d1c51b
Slug
will-harwinder-sandhu-win-the-next-vernon-lumby-british-columbia-legislative-assembly-election