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mrworldwideNoNo
balthazar<$100NoYes
2B9SCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Harman Preet Singh win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 60%
Total Value
$223.51
Combined PnL
$7.76
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$223.51
Total Shares224
Combined PnL+$14.12
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares76
Combined PnL-$6.35
No — 60%Yes — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
mrworldwide | Noavg 94.5¢ | $112.91 | $119.49 | +$6.58 | 67% 676-337 (1013) |
ST StraddleSeller<$100 | Noavg 90¢ | $75.62 | $84.02 | +$8.1 | 58% 144-105 (249) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99.5¢ | $19.9 | $20 | -$0.57 | 64% 12326-6985 (19311) |
AJ AJSVCTR<$100 | Yesavg 10¢ | $6.3 | — | -$6.3 | 36% 12837-22501 (35338) |
2B9SCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.4¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 17% 3041-14683 (17724) |
mrworldwideInvested
$112.91
Value
$119.49
PnL
+$6.58
Record
67%
676-337 (1013)
ST
StraddleSeller<$100Invested
$75.62
Value
$84.02
PnL
+$8.1
Record
58%
144-105 (249)
balthazar<$100Invested
$19.9
Value
$20
PnL
-$0.57
Record
64%
12326-6985 (19311)
AJ
AJSVCTR<$100Invested
$6.3
Value
—
PnL
-$6.3
Record
36%
12837-22501 (35338)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
17%
3041-14683 (17724)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd2c461bc...c785b9
Slug
will-harman-preet-singh-win-the-next-surrey-newton-british-columbia-legislative-assembly-election