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2B9S<$100No
balthazar<$100NoNoNoYes
Istaroth<$100NoNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?
Resolved No. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 100%
Total Value
$59.69
Combined PnL
$8.08
Smart Money Signal
No
6 of 7 top traders (86%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No6 traders
Total Value$59.69
Total Shares60
Combined PnL+$8.08
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 86%Yes — 14%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2B9S<$100 | Noavg 81¢ | $51.61 | $59.69 | +$8.08 | 18% 3382-15511 (18893) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 81.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 63% 15568-9006 (24574) |
LI lissartter<$100 | Noavg 88.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 42% 4992-6879 (11871) |
RL RLWG<$100 | Noavg 74¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 4923-4529 (9452) |
SB sbimbgCTR<$100 | Yesavg 21¢ | — | — | +$0 | 66% 2515-1290 (3805) |
Istaroth<$100 | Noavg 72.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 269-276 (545) |
AJ AJSV<$100 | Noavg 73¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 13604-23855 (37459) |
2B9S<$100Invested
$51.61
Value
$59.69
PnL
+$8.08
Record
18%
3382-15511 (18893)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
15568-9006 (24574)
LI
lissartter<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
4992-6879 (11871)
RL
RLWG<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
4923-4529 (9452)
SB
sbimbgCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
2515-1290 (3805)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
269-276 (545)
AJ
AJSV<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
13604-23855 (37459)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd61e0e91...bbb46e
Slug
will-flavio-bolsonaro-win-the-most-votes-in-the-second-round-of-the-brazil-presidential-election-in-sao-paulo-city