Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?
Resolved Yes. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Yes 67%
$587.9
$17.4
Smart Money Signal
3 of 9 top traders (33%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836 | Yesavg 90.7¢ | $300 | $300 | +$27.8 | 60% 181-123 (304) |
 themagicofcinema | Yesavg 99.9¢ | $287.61 | $287.9 | +$0.29 | 65% 363-194 (557) |
 viniiCTR<$100 | Noavg 8.2¢ | $10.68 | — | -$10.68 | 74% 2525-901 (3426) |
 balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 16.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 63% 15568-9006 (24574) |
LI lissartterCTR<$100 | Noavg 10¢ | — | — | +$0 | 42% 4992-6879 (11871) |
EL Elias.Thornwell<$100 | Yesavg 96¢ | — | — | +$0 | 80% 10425-2657 (13082) |
 IstarothCTR<$100 | Noavg 2.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 269-276 (545) |
AJ AJSVCTR<$100 | Noavg 18.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 13604-23855 (37459) |
 2B9SCTR<$100 | Noavg 2.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 3382-15511 (18893) |
Invested
$300
Value
$300
PnL
+$27.8
Record
60%
181-123 (304)
themagicofcinemaInvested
$287.61
Value
$287.9
PnL
+$0.29
Record
65%
363-194 (557)
viniiCTR<$100Invested
$10.68
Value
—
PnL
-$10.68
Record
74%
2525-901 (3426)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
15568-9006 (24574)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
4992-6879 (11871)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
80%
10425-2657 (13082)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
269-276 (545)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
13604-23855 (37459)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
3382-15511 (18893)
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