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Ryxon21YesYesYes
balthazarCTR<$100NoNoNoNo
2B9SCTR<$100No
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rondônia?
Resolved Yes. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 100%
Total Value
$1.8K
Combined PnL
$135.86
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 8 top traders (38%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes3 traders
Total Value$1.8K
Total Shares1,799
Combined PnL+$135.86
No5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 38%No — 62%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ryxon21 | Yesavg 97.3¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | +$94.11 | 71% 271-113 (384) |
QM QMG-CORE | Yesavg 99.3¢ | $306.63 | $503.79 | +$30.96 | 77% 1341-396 (1737) |
0X 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836 | Yesavg 93¢ | $154.28 | $154.28 | +$10.8 | 60% 181-123 (304) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 2.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 63% 15568-9006 (24574) |
LI lissartterCTR<$100 | Noavg 5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 42% 4992-6879 (11871) |
20 20260601CTR<$100 | Noavg 1.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 82-64 (146) |
AJ AJSVCTR<$100 | Noavg 11.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 13604-23855 (37459) |
2B9SCTR<$100 | Noavg 1.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 3382-15511 (18893) |
Ryxon21Invested
$1,109.67
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$94.11
Record
71%
271-113 (384)
QM
QMG-COREInvested
$306.63
Value
$503.79
PnL
+$30.96
Record
77%
1341-396 (1737)
0X
0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Invested
$154.28
Value
$154.28
PnL
+$10.8
Record
60%
181-123 (304)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
15568-9006 (24574)
LI
lissartterCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
4992-6879 (11871)
20
20260601CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
82-64 (146)
AJ
AJSVCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
13604-23855 (37459)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
3382-15511 (18893)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x896fca1a...daf7c7
Slug
will-flavio-bolsonaro-win-the-most-votes-in-the-second-round-of-the-brazil-presidential-election-from-rondonia