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Ryxon21YesYesNoYes
archaic<$100YesNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?
Resolved Yes. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 100%
Total Value
$1.3K
Combined PnL
$355.3
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$1.3K
Total Shares1,279
Combined PnL+$355.3
No2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 67%No — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ryxon21 | Yesavg 93.8¢ | $707.41 | $995.89 | +$288.48 | 71% 271-113 (384) |
QM QMG-CORE | Yesavg 99.2¢ | $216.34 | $283.17 | +$66.83 | 77% 1341-396 (1737) |
LI lissartterCTR<$100 | Noavg 5.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 42% 4992-6879 (11871) |
EL Elias.Thornwell<$100 | Yesavg 99¢ | — | — | +$0 | 80% 10425-2657 (13082) |
archaic<$100 | Yesavg 94.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 84% 1817-334 (2151) |
AJ AJSVCTR<$100 | Noavg 1.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 13604-23855 (37459) |
Ryxon21Invested
$707.41
Value
$995.89
PnL
+$288.48
Record
71%
271-113 (384)
QM
QMG-COREInvested
$216.34
Value
$283.17
PnL
+$66.83
Record
77%
1341-396 (1737)
LI
lissartterCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
4992-6879 (11871)
EL
Elias.Thornwell<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
80%
10425-2657 (13082)
archaic<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
84%
1817-334 (2151)
AJ
AJSVCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
13604-23855 (37459)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x19c282bc...9c454c
Slug
will-flavio-bolsonaro-win-the-most-votes-in-the-second-round-of-the-brazil-presidential-election-from-rio-grande-do-sul