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NoNo
balthazar<$100NoYesYesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Piauí?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 100%
Total Value
$669.99
Combined PnL
$29.14
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$669.99
Total Shares670
Combined PnL+$29.14
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 50%Yes — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
QM QMG-CORE | Noavg 99.2¢ | $644.55 | $650 | +$28.2 | 77% 1341-396 (1737) |
OL OLOTH<$100 | Noavg 98.8¢ | $19.75 | $19.99 | +$0.94 | 96% 725-29 (754) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 63% 15568-9006 (24574) |
LI lissartterCTR<$100 | Yesavg 7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 42% 4992-6879 (11871) |
ME merodCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 56% 1708-1323 (3031) |
AJ AJSVCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 13604-23855 (37459) |
QM
QMG-COREInvested
$644.55
Value
$650
PnL
+$28.2
Record
77%
1341-396 (1737)
OL
OLOTH<$100Invested
$19.75
Value
$19.99
PnL
+$0.94
Record
96%
725-29 (754)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
15568-9006 (24574)
LI
lissartterCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
4992-6879 (11871)
ME
merodCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
1708-1323 (3031)
AJ
AJSVCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
13604-23855 (37459)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x77a23673...016397
Slug
will-flavio-bolsonaro-win-the-most-votes-in-the-second-round-of-the-brazil-presidential-election-from-piaui