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No
balthazar<$100NoNoNo
archaic<$100NoYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?
Resolved No. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 100%
Total Value
$961.03
Combined PnL
$22.62
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No5 traders
Total Value$961.03
Total Shares961
Combined PnL+$22.62
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 83%Yes — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
QM QMG-CORE | Noavg 99.3¢ | $954.26 | $961.03 | +$22.62 | 77% 1341-396 (1737) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 95.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 63% 15568-9006 (24574) |
LI lissartter<$100 | Noavg 91¢ | — | — | +$0 | 42% 4992-6879 (11871) |
EL Elias.Thornwell<$100 | Noavg 98.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 80% 10425-2657 (13082) |
archaic<$100 | Noavg 96¢ | — | — | +$0 | 84% 1817-334 (2151) |
AJ AJSVCTR<$100 | Yesavg 8.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 13604-23855 (37459) |
QM
QMG-COREInvested
$954.26
Value
$961.03
PnL
+$22.62
Record
77%
1341-396 (1737)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
15568-9006 (24574)
LI
lissartter<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
4992-6879 (11871)
EL
Elias.Thornwell<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
80%
10425-2657 (13082)
archaic<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
84%
1817-334 (2151)
AJ
AJSVCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
13604-23855 (37459)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd0dd4799...d57331
Slug
will-flavio-bolsonaro-win-the-most-votes-in-the-second-round-of-the-brazil-presidential-election-from-paraiba