Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?
Resolved Yes. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Yes 75%
$3.1K
$4.35
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
QM QMG-CORE | Yesavg 99.2¢ | $1.2K | $2.5K | -$13.33 | 77% 1341-396 (1737) |
 Ryxon21 | Yesavg 94¢ | $302.6 | $322.07 | +$17.05 | 71% 271-113 (384) |
ZX zxc368 | Yesavg 99.8¢ | $312.14 | $312.77 | +$0.63 | 99% 10488-150 (10638) |
 NadmiCTR<$100 | Noavg 0.4¢ | $0 | — | -$0 | 48% 2009-2198 (4207) |
 balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 3.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 63% 15568-9006 (24574) |
EL Elias.Thornwell<$100 | Yesavg 97.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 80% 10425-2657 (13082) |
 archaic<$100 | Yesavg 96.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 84% 1817-334 (2151) |
AJ AJSV<$100 | Yesavg 95.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 13604-23855 (37459) |
 2B9SCTR<$100 | Noavg 3.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 3382-15511 (18893) |
Invested
$1,232.1
Value
$2.5K
PnL
-$13.33
Record
77%
1341-396 (1737)
Ryxon21Invested
$302.6
Value
$322.07
PnL
+$17.05
Record
71%
271-113 (384)
Invested
$312.14
Value
$312.77
PnL
+$0.63
Record
99%
10488-150 (10638)
NadmiCTR<$100Invested
$0
Value
—
PnL
-$0
Record
48%
2009-2198 (4207)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
15568-9006 (24574)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
80%
10425-2657 (13082)
archaic<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
84%
1817-334 (2151)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
13604-23855 (37459)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
3382-15511 (18893)
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