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NoNo
balthazar<$100NoYesYes
2B9SCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 100%
Total Value
$212.59
Combined PnL
$3.89
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$212.59
Total Shares213
Combined PnL+$3.89
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 50%Yes — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
QM QMG-CORE | Noavg 99.5¢ | $197.54 | $198.53 | +$3.08 | 77% 1341-396 (1737) |
AV aviato<$100 | Noavg 94¢ | $13.24 | $14.06 | +$0.82 | 86% 2383-404 (2787) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 96.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 63% 15568-9006 (24574) |
LI lissartterCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 42% 4992-6879 (11871) |
AJ AJSVCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 13604-23855 (37459) |
2B9SCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 3382-15511 (18893) |
QM
QMG-COREInvested
$197.54
Value
$198.53
PnL
+$3.08
Record
77%
1341-396 (1737)
AV
aviato<$100Invested
$13.24
Value
$14.06
PnL
+$0.82
Record
86%
2383-404 (2787)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
15568-9006 (24574)
LI
lissartterCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
4992-6879 (11871)
AJ
AJSVCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
13604-23855 (37459)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
3382-15511 (18893)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xdb9515cd...44006c
Slug
will-flavio-bolsonaro-win-the-most-votes-in-the-second-round-of-the-brazil-presidential-election-from-maranhao