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No
balthazar<$100NoNoNoYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Ceará?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 100%
Total Value
$500
Combined PnL
$14.5
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$500
Total Shares500
Combined PnL+$14.5
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 80%Yes — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
QM QMG-CORE | Noavg 99¢ | $495 | $500 | +$14.5 | 77% 1341-396 (1737) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 98.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 63% 15568-9006 (24574) |
KO korda77<$100 | Noavg 99.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 3034-2587 (5621) |
ME merod<$100 | Noavg 96.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 1708-1323 (3031) |
AJ AJSVCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 13604-23855 (37459) |
QM
QMG-COREInvested
$495
Value
$500
PnL
+$14.5
Record
77%
1341-396 (1737)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
15568-9006 (24574)
KO
korda77<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
3034-2587 (5621)
ME
merod<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
1708-1323 (3031)
AJ
AJSVCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
13604-23855 (37459)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb9ff2120...d87369
Slug
will-flavio-bolsonaro-win-the-most-votes-in-the-second-round-of-the-brazil-presidential-election-from-ceara