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Yes
balthazar<$100NoNo
TimeTraveler<$100NoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Fabian Ruiz finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Resolved No. 20% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$0.37
Smart Money Signal
Yes
1 of 5 top traders (20%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares23
Combined PnL-$0.37
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 20%No — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xbeEf3f30B4188470347542ecD64b5470418e620e-1787058048438CTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.6¢ | $0.37 | — | -$0.37 | 54% 302-257 (559) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 98.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 62% 20216-12621 (32837) |
BI Bigggggggg<$100 | Noavg 99.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 45% 2698-3242 (5940) |
TimeTraveler<$100 | Noavg 95¢ | — | — | +$0 | 41% 1925-2728 (4653) |
ME merod<$100 | Noavg 92.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 2372-2159 (4531) |
0X
0xbeEf3f30B4188470347542ecD64b5470418e620e-1787058048438CTR<$100Invested
$0.37
Value
—
PnL
-$0.37
Record
54%
302-257 (559)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
62%
20216-12621 (32837)
BI
Bigggggggg<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
45%
2698-3242 (5940)
TimeTraveler<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
41%
1925-2728 (4653)
ME
merod<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
2372-2159 (4531)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5760972c...1a413d
Slug
will-fabian-ruiz-finish-5th-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019193417541