Back to Markets
NoYes
balthazar<$100NoNoYesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Erling Haaland finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 50%
Total Value
$25
Combined PnL
-$0.32
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$25
Total Shares25
Combined PnL-$0.02
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares14
Combined PnL-$0.3
No — 50%Yes — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xbeEf3f30B4188470347542ecD64b5470418e620e-1787058048438<$100 | Noavg 98.8¢ | $25.32 | $25 | -$0.02 | 54% 302-257 (559) |
0X 0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.1¢ | $0.3 | — | -$0.3 | 82% 228-50 (278) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 62% 20216-12621 (32837) |
BI Bigggggggg<$100 | Noavg 99.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 45% 2698-3242 (5940) |
ME merodCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 52% 2372-2159 (4531) |
LE leegunnerCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 42% 1262-1766 (3028) |
0X
0xbeEf3f30B4188470347542ecD64b5470418e620e-1787058048438<$100Invested
$25.32
Value
$25
PnL
-$0.02
Record
54%
302-257 (559)
0X
0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eCTR<$100Invested
$0.3
Value
—
PnL
-$0.3
Record
82%
228-50 (278)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
62%
20216-12621 (32837)
BI
Bigggggggg<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
45%
2698-3242 (5940)
ME
merodCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
2372-2159 (4531)
LE
leegunnerCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
1262-1766 (3028)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x3391f28d...ee86bd
Slug
will-erling-haaland-finish-5th-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019193417541