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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Erling Haaland finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Resolved No. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
11
Yes 55%
Total Value
$9.87
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
6 of 11 top traders (55%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x12ad50e8...edc162
Slug
will-erling-haaland-finish-3rd-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019143424322