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YesYes
2B9SCTRNo
balthazarCTR<$100NoNoYes
archaic<$100YesNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Erika Jurinová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?
Resolved Yes. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 67%
Total Value
$505.98
Combined PnL
$19.33
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$505.98
Total Shares506
Combined PnL+$140.71
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares649
Combined PnL-$121.37
Yes — 50%No — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KI KiernanMeister | Yesavg 69¢ | $275.99 | $357.04 | +$105.86 | 52% 973-895 (1868) |
0X 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836 | Yesavg 77.3¢ | $115.18 | $148.94 | +$33.76 | 59% 171-121 (292) |
2B9SCTR | Noavg 14.1¢ | $103.77 | — | -$121.37 | 17% 3035-14642 (17677) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 64% 11992-6689 (18681) |
VA Vale54holiCTR<$100 | Noavg 10¢ | — | — | +$0 | 31% 128-282 (410) |
0X 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 65% 4147-2191 (6338) |
archaic<$100 | Yesavg 98¢ | $56.11 | — | +$1.09 | 84% 1804-332 (2136) |
AJ AJSVCTR<$100 | Noavg 31.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 12781-22373 (35154) |
KI
KiernanMeisterInvested
$275.99
Value
$357.04
PnL
+$105.86
Record
52%
973-895 (1868)
0X
0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Invested
$115.18
Value
$148.94
PnL
+$33.76
Record
59%
171-121 (292)
2B9SCTRInvested
$103.77
Value
—
PnL
-$121.37
Record
17%
3035-14642 (17677)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
64%
11992-6689 (18681)
VA
Vale54holiCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
31%
128-282 (410)
0X
0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
4147-2191 (6338)
archaic<$100Invested
$56.11
Value
—
PnL
+$1.09
Record
84%
1804-332 (2136)
AJ
AJSVCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
12781-22373 (35154)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x44a37f04...b7dc22
Slug
will-erika-jurinova-win-the-2026-zilina-region-gubernatorial-election