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smellyEllieYes
RatspootinYes
-Dominus-<$100Yes
petehegseth<$100Yes
2B9SCTR<$100No
Resolution Proposed
A resolution has been proposed and is in the challenge window. Awaiting UMA oracle settlement.
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 25, 2026?
4 of 5 top Polymarket traders hold Yes (80%) · Yes at 100¢ · $760 held · awaiting resolution
PENDING
⏳
Pending
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 80%
Total Value
$760.22
Combined PnL
$39.19
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No1%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$759.35
Total Shares767
Combined PnL+$38.84
No1 trader
Total Value$0.87
Total Shares174
Combined PnL+$0.35
Yes — 80%No — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
smellyEllie | Yesavg 90.9¢ | $508.41 | $520.2 | +$11.78 | 50% 856-866 (1722) |
Ratspootin | Yesavg 89¢ | $188.33 | $209.45 | +$17.1 | 63% 991-577 (1568) |
-Dominus-<$100 | Yesavg 50¢ | $10 | $19.8 | +$9.9 | 66% 251-128 (379) |
petehegseth<$100 | Yesavg 99¢ | $9.9 | $9.9 | +$0.06 | 83% 19-4 (23) |
2B9SCTR<$100 | Noavg 0.3¢ | $0.52 | $0.87 | +$0.35 | 17% 3035-14642 (17677) |
smellyEllieInvested
$508.41
Value
$520.2
PnL
+$11.78
Record
50%
856-866 (1722)
RatspootinInvested
$188.33
Value
$209.45
PnL
+$17.1
Record
63%
991-577 (1568)
-Dominus-<$100Invested
$10
Value
$19.8
PnL
+$9.9
Record
66%
251-128 (379)
petehegseth<$100Invested
$9.9
Value
$9.9
PnL
+$0.06
Record
83%
19-4 (23)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
$0.52
Value
$0.87
PnL
+$0.35
Record
17%
3035-14642 (17677)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0605471c...de3345
Slug
will-donald-trump-publicly-insult-someone-on-october-25-2026-20261001004229017