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KimchiCapitalYes
viniiYesNoNo
Istaroth<$100YesNo
2B9SCTR<$100No
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?
Resolved Yes. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 100%
Total Value
$427.32
Combined PnL
$114.45
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 7 top traders (43%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes3 traders
Total Value$427.32
Total Shares427
Combined PnL+$114.45
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 43%No — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KimchiCapital | Yesavg 78.8¢ | $224.9 | $308.42 | +$83.52 | 73% 392-143 (535) |
vinii | Yesavg 79.8¢ | $94.93 | $118.9 | +$30.92 | 74% 2525-901 (3426) |
LI lissartterCTR<$100 | Noavg 5.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 42% 4992-6879 (11871) |
ME merodCTR<$100 | Noavg 1.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 1708-1323 (3031) |
Istaroth<$100 | Yesavg 95¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 269-276 (545) |
AJ AJSVCTR<$100 | Noavg 18¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 13604-23855 (37459) |
2B9SCTR<$100 | Noavg 10¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 3382-15511 (18893) |
KimchiCapitalInvested
$224.9
Value
$308.42
PnL
+$83.52
Record
73%
392-143 (535)
viniiInvested
$94.93
Value
$118.9
PnL
+$30.92
Record
74%
2525-901 (3426)
LI
lissartterCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
4992-6879 (11871)
ME
merodCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
1708-1323 (3031)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
269-276 (545)
AJ
AJSVCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
13604-23855 (37459)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
3382-15511 (18893)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc224d8b4...dc15de
Slug
will-deepseek-have-the-highest-openrouter-market-share-the-week-of-october-19