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balthazar<$100NoYesYesYes
2B9SCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Danica Birošová win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$4.85
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares153
Combined PnL-$4.85
No — 20%Yes — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 64% 12603-7152 (19755) |
ME merodCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | -$1.4 | 55% 1438-1199 (2637) |
0X 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060CTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 65% 4174-2208 (6382) |
AJ AJSVCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.3¢ | $2.58 | — | -$2.58 | 36% 12900-22608 (35508) |
2B9SCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.2¢ | $0.88 | — | -$0.88 | 17% 3123-14824 (17947) |
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
64%
12603-7152 (19755)
ME
merodCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
55%
1438-1199 (2637)
0X
0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
4174-2208 (6382)
AJ
AJSVCTR<$100Invested
$2.58
Value
—
PnL
-$2.58
Record
36%
12900-22608 (35508)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
$0.88
Value
—
PnL
-$0.88
Record
17%
3123-14824 (17947)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xadd8c6cf...d232d0
Slug
will-danica-birosova-win-the-2026-trencin-mayoral-election