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NoNoNo
-Dominus-<$100No
SocialistaCTR<$100Yes
IstarothCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Bruno Fernandes finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 100%
Total Value
$1.8K
Combined PnL
$23.29
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$1.8K
Total Shares1,836
Combined PnL+$23.29
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 67%Yes — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZX zxc368 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | +$1.15 | 99% 11917-170 (12087) |
NO nonkenny90 | Noavg 97.1¢ | $603.15 | $621.13 | +$20.77 | 89% 4459-539 (4998) |
MA MarquisDeMott<$100 | Noavg 99.1¢ | $76.31 | $77 | +$0.69 | 97% 2738-72 (2810) |
-Dominus-<$100 | Noavg 98.9¢ | $62.48 | $63.16 | +$0.68 | 67% 306-149 (455) |
SocialistaCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 63% 2568-1527 (4095) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 40% 271-401 (672) |
ZX
zxc368Invested
$1,073.86
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$1.15
Record
99%
11917-170 (12087)
NO
nonkenny90Invested
$603.15
Value
$621.13
PnL
+$20.77
Record
89%
4459-539 (4998)
MA
MarquisDeMott<$100Invested
$76.31
Value
$77
PnL
+$0.69
Record
97%
2738-72 (2810)
-Dominus-<$100Invested
$62.48
Value
$63.16
PnL
+$0.68
Record
67%
306-149 (455)
SocialistaCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
2568-1527 (4095)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
40%
271-401 (672)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1f2bfbaf...3a0529
Slug
will-bruno-fernandes-finish-in-the-top-10-of-the-2026-ballon-dor