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No
2B9SCTRYes
balthazar<$100NoNoNoYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Brennan Day win the next Courtenay-Comox British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 67%
Total Value
$828.77
Combined PnL
$94.94
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$698.77
Total Shares699
Combined PnL+$164.49
Yes2 traders
Total Value$130
Total Shares253
Combined PnL-$69.55
No — 67%Yes — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AJ AJSV | Noavg 30¢ | $501.68 | $606.77 | +$138.99 | 36% 12837-22501 (35338) |
2B9SCTR | Yesavg 71.8¢ | $104.65 | $130 | -$12.5 | 17% 3041-14683 (17724) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 44.5¢ | $17.8 | $40 | +$20.91 | 64% 12326-6985 (19311) |
KO korda77<$100 | Noavg 58¢ | $18.56 | $32 | +$0 | 52% 2575-2383 (4958) |
0X 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060<$100 | Noavg 73¢ | $14.6 | $20 | +$4.6 | 66% 4172-2196 (6368) |
ST StraddleSellerCTR | Yesavg 50¢ | $111.65 | — | -$57.05 | 58% 144-105 (249) |
AJ
AJSVInvested
$501.68
Value
$606.77
PnL
+$138.99
Record
36%
12837-22501 (35338)
2B9SCTRInvested
$104.65
Value
$130
PnL
-$12.5
Record
17%
3041-14683 (17724)
balthazar<$100Invested
$17.8
Value
$40
PnL
+$20.91
Record
64%
12326-6985 (19311)
KO
korda77<$100Invested
$18.56
Value
$32
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
2575-2383 (4958)
0X
0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060<$100Invested
$14.6
Value
$20
PnL
+$4.6
Record
66%
4172-2196 (6368)
ST
StraddleSellerCTRInvested
$111.65
Value
—
PnL
-$57.05
Record
58%
144-105 (249)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x30ad38ff...21200e
Slug
will-brennan-day-win-the-next-courtenay-comox-british-columbia-legislative-assembly-election