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NoNoYes
archaicNo
2B9SCTR<$100Yes Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will Anton Kysel win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 67%
Total Value
$82.2
Combined PnL
-$1.14
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$82.2
Total Shares82
Combined PnL+$1.69
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares57
Combined PnL-$2.83
No — 60%Yes — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ME merod<$100 | Noavg 99.8¢ | $62.08 | $62.2 | -$1.82 | 55% 1438-1199 (2637) |
AJ AJSV<$100 | Noavg 67¢ | $18.06 | $20 | +$1.94 | 36% 12900-22608 (35508) |
0X 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060CTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 65% 4174-2208 (6382) |
![]() archaic | Noavg 98¢ | $107.79 | — | +$1.57 | 84% 1808-333 (2141) |
![]() 2B9SCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5¢ | $2.83 | — | -$2.83 | 17% 3123-14824 (17947) |
ME
merod<$100Invested
$62.08
Value
$62.2
PnL
-$1.82
Record
55%
1438-1199 (2637)
AJ
AJSV<$100Invested
$18.06
Value
$20
PnL
+$1.94
Record
36%
12900-22608 (35508)
0X
0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
4174-2208 (6382)
archaicInvested
$107.79
Value
—
PnL
+$1.57
Record
84%
1808-333 (2141)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
$2.83
Value
—
PnL
-$2.83
Record
17%
3123-14824 (17947)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc4f5f12b...8de56e
Slug
will-anton-kysel-win-the-2026-trencin-mayoral-election