Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will Andrey Gyurov win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
Resolved Yes. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
No 67%
$94.88
-$14.63
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 archaic<$100 | Yesavg 96.6¢ | $93.68 | $94.87 | +$1.19 | 85% 1843-334 (2177) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Noavg 9.7¢ | $85.76 | — | -$85.76 | 53% 5561-4835 (10396) |
TY TyshaCTR<$100 | Noavg 9.8¢ | $7.84 | — | -$7.84 | 73% 7801-2870 (10671) |
 Donny.T | Yesavg 89.5¢ | $1.1K | $0.02 | +$77.78 | 72% 471-180 (651) |
 balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 50.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 62% 18200-10969 (29169) |
KO korda77CTR<$100 | Noavg 2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 3405-3066 (6471) |
ME merodCTR<$100 | Noavg 1.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 2217-1882 (4099) |
 Istaroth<$100 | Yesavg 92¢ | — | — | +$0 | 43% 269-355 (624) |
AJ AJSV<$100 | Yesavg 90.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 13957-24692 (38649) |
archaic<$100Invested
$93.68
Value
$94.87
PnL
+$1.19
Record
85%
1843-334 (2177)
Invested
$85.76
Value
—
PnL
-$85.76
Record
53%
5561-4835 (10396)
Invested
$7.84
Value
—
PnL
-$7.84
Record
73%
7801-2870 (10671)
Donny.TInvested
$1,107.49
Value
$0.02
PnL
+$77.78
Record
72%
471-180 (651)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
62%
18200-10969 (29169)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
3405-3066 (6471)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
2217-1882 (4099)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
43%
269-355 (624)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
13957-24692 (38649)
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