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NoYes
tradecraftCTR<$100Yes
HRTradingCTR<$100YesNoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Portuguesa FC vs. Carabobo FC end in a draw?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 75%
Total Value
$15
Combined PnL
-$7.18
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$15
Total Shares15
Combined PnL+$3.65
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares111
Combined PnL-$10.83
No — 50%Yes — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BE Betziko<$100 | Noavg 75.7¢ | $11.35 | $15 | +$3.65 | 55% 5431-4532 (9963) |
SA Saber-greedCTR<$100 | Yesavg 30¢ | $4.22 | — | -$4.22 | 59% 2365-1638 (4003) |
tradecraftCTR<$100 | Yesavg 8.8¢ | $4.4 | — | -$4.4 | 52% 5597-5202 (10799) |
HRTradingCTR<$100 | Yesavg 28.5¢ | $2.21 | — | -$2.21 | 56% 1934-1543 (3477) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Noavg 82.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 69% 34652-15570 (50222) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Noavg 71¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19173-18552 (37725) |
BE
Betziko<$100Invested
$11.35
Value
$15
PnL
+$3.65
Record
55%
5431-4532 (9963)
SA
Saber-greedCTR<$100Invested
$4.22
Value
—
PnL
-$4.22
Record
59%
2365-1638 (4003)
tradecraftCTR<$100Invested
$4.4
Value
—
PnL
-$4.4
Record
52%
5597-5202 (10799)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$2.21
Value
—
PnL
-$2.21
Record
56%
1934-1543 (3477)
UP
UpTheBlues<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
69%
34652-15570 (50222)
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19173-18552 (37725)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xde4939f1...913f45
Slug
ven1-por-cfc-2026-10-25-draw