Valorant: G2 Gozen vs Team Liquid Brazil (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Championship Playoffs
1 of 2 top Polymarket traders hold Team Liquid Brazil (50%) · Team Liquid Brazil at 55¢ · $3K held · ends Oct 27
⚖️
Neutral
Team Liquid Brazil
2
Team Liquid Brazil 50%
$2.9K
$27.9
Research grade
NeutralTeam Liquid Brazil at 55%
No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).
- Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
- Fewer than 5 holdersEvery backtest needed 5+ holders; with fewer nothing was measured.
- Side priced 50–60¢0.50–0.70 lost −3.2 % a trade pooled (n 3,834).
Backtest of Oct 22 2026: one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees. The grade never goes above “Research candidate”: no rule passed the multiple-testing check. It is not a forecast and not advice.
Smart Money Signal
1 of 2 top traders (50%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GR gregbeast | Team Liquid Brazilavg 54.3¢ | $2.6K | $2.6K | +$31.46 | 40% 152-232 (384) |
FO Forecastication2CTR | G2 Gozenavg 45.8¢ | $207.86 | $204.3 | -$3.56 | 63% 5802-3427 (9229) |
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
55.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.