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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Resolved No. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
49
No 53%
Total Value
$50.1K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
26 of 49 top traders (53%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x71c49500...03ba03
Slug
us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by-may-29