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Under
RN1CTROver
HRTrading<$100UnderOverUnderOver
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Over
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Club Nacional de Football vs. Liverpool Montevideo: O/U 1.5
Resolved Under. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Over 33%
Total Value
$340.84
Combined PnL
$57.64
Smart Money Signal
Over
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under3 traders
Total Value$340.84
Total Shares341
Combined PnL+$272.38
Over4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares859
Combined PnL-$214.75
Under — 43%Over — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LU LuckyLoo | Underavg 17¢ | $54.68 | $308.77 | +$254.09 | 50% 8135-8161 (16296) |
RN1CTR | Overavg 25¢ | $214.75 | — | -$214.75 | 55% 47299-39418 (86717) |
HRTrading<$100 | Underavg 43¢ | $13.78 | $32.07 | +$18.29 | 55% 1971-1584 (3555) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Overavg 8.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 69% 35392-15597 (50989) |
OM omnibus-076daa<$100 | Underavg 97.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 16230-16479 (32709) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Overavg 54¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19245-18633 (37878) |
VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Overavg 72¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 34781-25357 (60138) |
LU
LuckyLooInvested
$54.68
Value
$308.77
PnL
+$254.09
Record
50%
8135-8161 (16296)
RN1CTRInvested
$214.75
Value
—
PnL
-$214.75
Record
55%
47299-39418 (86717)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$13.78
Value
$32.07
PnL
+$18.29
Record
55%
1971-1584 (3555)
UP
UpTheBluesCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
69%
35392-15597 (50989)
OM
omnibus-076daa<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
16230-16479 (32709)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19245-18633 (37878)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
34781-25357 (60138)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xcda059f2...563bdf
Slug
uru1-nac-liv-2026-10-25-total-1pt5