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poshposh<$100No
RN1CTR<$100Yes
tradecraftCTR<$100YesNo
HRTradingCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Mardin 1969 Spor vs. Manisa Futbol Kulubu end in a draw?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 50%
Total Value
$19.09
Combined PnL
-$9.48
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$19.09
Total Shares19
Combined PnL+$0.19
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares52
Combined PnL-$9.67
No — 40%Yes — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
poshposh<$100 | Noavg 78¢ | $19.04 | $19.09 | +$0.19 | 61% 8719-5662 (14381) |
RN1CTR<$100 | Yesavg 18.5¢ | $9.67 | — | -$9.67 | 54% 54083-45963 (100046) |
tradecraftCTR<$100 | Yesavg 7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 5773-5386 (11159) |
0X 0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000<$100 | Noavg 65.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 43% 2151-2905 (5056) |
HRTradingCTR<$100 | Yesavg 11¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 2195-1816 (4011) |
poshposh<$100Invested
$19.04
Value
$19.09
PnL
+$0.19
Record
61%
8719-5662 (14381)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$9.67
Value
—
PnL
-$9.67
Record
54%
54083-45963 (100046)
tradecraftCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
5773-5386 (11159)
0X
0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
43%
2151-2905 (5056)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
2195-1816 (4011)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7b35f1e8...c1981b
Slug
tur2-mar-man-2026-10-26-draw