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OverUnder
HRTradingCTR<$100UnderUnder
RN1CTR<$100Under
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Trabzonspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Resolved Over. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 80%
Total Value
$23.75
Combined PnL
-$77.34
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over1 trader
Total Value$23.75
Total Shares24
Combined PnL+$2
Under4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares220
Combined PnL-$79.34
Over — 20%Under — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VA Vampiro1<$100 | Overavg 91.6¢ | $21.75 | $23.75 | +$2 | 76% 2919-904 (3823) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100 | Underavg 28¢ | $21.04 | — | -$21.04 | 49% 18089-18501 (36590) |
HRTradingCTR<$100 | Underavg 64¢ | $1.12 | — | -$1.12 | 55% 2195-1816 (4011) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Underavg 56¢ | $24.18 | — | -$24.18 | 49% 11291-11571 (22862) |
RN1CTR<$100 | Underavg 33¢ | $33 | — | -$33 | 54% 54083-45963 (100046) |
VA
Vampiro1<$100Invested
$21.75
Value
$23.75
PnL
+$2
Record
76%
2919-904 (3823)
OM
omnibus-076daaCTR<$100Invested
$21.04
Value
—
PnL
-$21.04
Record
49%
18089-18501 (36590)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$1.12
Value
—
PnL
-$1.12
Record
55%
2195-1816 (4011)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
$24.18
Value
—
PnL
-$24.18
Record
49%
11291-11571 (22862)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$33
Value
—
PnL
-$33
Record
54%
54083-45963 (100046)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5e294942...bdd868
Slug
tur-riz-tra-2026-10-26-first-half-total-1pt5