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OverOverUnder
HRTradingCTR<$100Under
RN1CTR<$100Under
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Resolved Over. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 60%
Total Value
$60
Combined PnL
-$186.57
Smart Money Signal
Under
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over2 traders
Total Value$60
Total Shares60
Combined PnL+$15
Under3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares743
Combined PnL-$201.57
Over — 40%Under — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LU LuckyLoo<$100 | Overavg 75¢ | $30 | $40 | +$10 | 50% 11601-11716 (23317) |
AR ARocky33<$100 | Overavg 75¢ | $15 | $20 | +$5 | 76% 3834-1222 (5056) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR | Underavg 27¢ | $196.32 | — | -$196.32 | 59% 43329-29788 (73117) |
HRTradingCTR<$100 | Underavg 26¢ | $3.77 | — | -$3.77 | 54% 2262-1899 (4161) |
RN1CTR<$100 | Underavg 48¢ | $1.48 | — | -$1.48 | 54% 54359-46301 (100660) |
LU
LuckyLoo<$100Invested
$30
Value
$40
PnL
+$10
Record
50%
11601-11716 (23317)
AR
ARocky33<$100Invested
$15
Value
$20
PnL
+$5
Record
76%
3834-1222 (5056)
UP
UpTheBluesCTRInvested
$196.32
Value
—
PnL
-$196.32
Record
59%
43329-29788 (73117)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$3.77
Value
—
PnL
-$3.77
Record
54%
2262-1899 (4161)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$1.48
Value
—
PnL
-$1.48
Record
54%
54359-46301 (100660)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0586f1f0...c5e295
Slug
tur-gal-fen-2026-10-26-first-half-total-0pt5