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Spread: FC Lugano (-1.5)
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ended Oct 25
SIGNAL
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Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
FC Lugano29%
FC Thun71%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance31.1%
29.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$222.06
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
322.1
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xe93e9185...a1192b
Slug
sui-thu-lug-2026-10-25-spread-away-1pt5