Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Up 63%
$82.86
-$110.43
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 25¢ | $78.37 | — | -$78.37 | 51% 6180-5859 (12039) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 52.9¢ | $28.07 | — | -$28.07 | 65% 20166-10990 (31156) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 67.9¢ | $39.15 | — | -$36.4 | 65% 121312-64687 (185999) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 50.7¢ | $17.28 | $34.1 | +$16.82 | 49% 76564-79653 (156217) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 49.8¢ | $19.88 | $39.9 | +$20.02 | 66% 110197-56555 (166752) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 65¢ | $3.9 | — | -$3.9 | 55% 42983-35443 (78426) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 26¢ | $1.86 | — | -$1.86 | 52% 87991-82424 (170415) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $7.53 | $8.86 | +$1.33 | 63% 49745-29472 (79217) |
Invested
$78.37
Value
—
PnL
-$78.37
Record
51%
6180-5859 (12039)
Invested
$28.07
Value
—
PnL
-$28.07
Record
65%
20166-10990 (31156)
Invested
$39.15
Value
—
PnL
-$36.4
Record
65%
121312-64687 (185999)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$17.28
Value
$34.1
PnL
+$16.82
Record
49%
76564-79653 (156217)
Invested
$19.88
Value
$39.9
PnL
+$20.02
Record
66%
110197-56555 (166752)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$3.9
Value
—
PnL
-$3.9
Record
55%
42983-35443 (78426)
Invested
$1.86
Value
—
PnL
-$1.86
Record
52%
87991-82424 (170415)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$7.53
Value
$8.86
PnL
+$1.33
Record
63%
49745-29472 (79217)
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