Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Down β but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Resolved Up. 25% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
8
Down 25%
$215.98
-$232
Smart Money Signal
2 of 8 top traders (25%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR | Downavg 39.7Β’ | $281.27 | β | -$281.27 | 51% 6180-5859 (12039) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 73.8Β’ | $30.1 | $39.06 | +$8.96 | 65% 20166-10990 (31156) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 94Β’ | $45.79 | $33.69 | -$12.1 | 49% 76564-79653 (156217) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 94Β’ | $36.35 | $35.37 | -$0.98 | 65% 121312-64687 (185999) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 49.8Β’ | $29.89 | $60.01 | +$30.12 | 63% 49745-29472 (79217) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 44Β’ | $17.44 | $39.65 | +$22.21 | 55% 42983-35443 (78426) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 48.8Β’ | $5.02 | $8.2 | +$3.18 | 52% 87991-82424 (170415) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 6Β’ | $2.12 | β | -$2.12 | 46% 37365-43576 (80941) |
Invested
$281.27
Value
β
PnL
-$281.27
Record
51%
6180-5859 (12039)
Invested
$30.1
Value
$39.06
PnL
+$8.96
Record
65%
20166-10990 (31156)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$45.79
Value
$33.69
PnL
-$12.1
Record
49%
76564-79653 (156217)
Invested
$36.35
Value
$35.37
PnL
-$0.98
Record
65%
121312-64687 (185999)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$29.89
Value
$60.01
PnL
+$30.12
Record
63%
49745-29472 (79217)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$17.44
Value
$39.65
PnL
+$22.21
Record
55%
42983-35443 (78426)
Invested
$5.02
Value
$8.2
PnL
+$3.18
Record
52%
87991-82424 (170415)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.12
Value
β
PnL
-$2.12
Record
46%
37365-43576 (80941)
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