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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Resolved Down. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Up 55%

Total Value

$91.82

Combined PnL

-$167.82

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 11 top traders (55%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares278
Combined PnL-$193.86
Down5 traders
Total Value$91.82
Total Shares92
Combined PnL+$26.04
Up — 55%Down — 45%
PL
ply-pm2CTR
Up

Invested

$106.62

Value

—

PnL

-$106.62

Record

51%

6132-5801 (11933)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Down

Invested

$27.03

Value

$36

PnL

+$8.97

Record

49%

76371-79329 (155700)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$41.14

Value

—

PnL

-$41.14

Record

58%

59354-43324 (102678)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$18.81

Value

—

PnL

-$18.81

Record

66%

109300-55693 (164993)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$13.8

Value

—

PnL

-$13.8

Record

65%

119380-63148 (182528)

pspspsps5<$100
Down

Invested

$11.37

Value

$21.59

PnL

+$10.22

Record

46%

37328-43529 (80857)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$10.85

Value

—

PnL

-$10.85

Record

55%

16550-13280 (29830)

MayorMamdani<$100
Down

Invested

$4.1

Value

$10

PnL

+$5.9

Record

55%

42897-35362 (78259)

AA
aaa221<$100
Down

Invested

$34.39

Value

$12.39

PnL

-$4.97

Record

65%

20047-10914 (30961)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100
Down

Invested

$5.92

Value

$11.84

PnL

+$5.92

Record

59%

36902-26123 (63025)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.64

Value

—

PnL

-$2.64

Record

52%

87624-81970 (169594)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x932503e9...e8dfab
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793048100

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Up — $0

-$106.62

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $36

+$8.97
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

CTR

Up — $0

-$41.14
AN

antsaslyku

CTR

Up — $0

-$18.81
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

CTR

Up — $0

-$13.8

pspspsps5

Down — $21.59

+$10.22
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

CTR

Up — $0

-$10.85

MayorMamdani

Down — $10

+$5.9
AA

aaa221

Down — $12.39

-$4.97
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $11.84

+$5.92
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