Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Down 63%
$82.51
-$18.52
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 97.6¢ | $40.8 | $40.18 | -$0.62 | 65% 119380-63148 (182528) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 88.1¢ | $28.34 | $32.18 | +$3.84 | 65% 20047-10914 (30961) |
AL Alpharo28CTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $9.47 | — | -$9.47 | 51% 36931-35385 (72316) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 22¢ | $2.42 | — | -$2.42 | 49% 76371-79329 (155700) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 71¢ | $7.2 | $10.14 | +$2.94 | 55% 16550-13280 (29830) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 35.9¢ | $10.39 | — | -$10.39 | 51% 6132-5801 (11933) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 9.1¢ | $2.4 | — | -$2.4 | 46% 37328-43529 (80857) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.01 | — | -$0.01 | 66% 109300-55693 (164993) |
Invested
$40.8
Value
$40.18
PnL
-$0.62
Record
65%
119380-63148 (182528)
Invested
$28.34
Value
$32.18
PnL
+$3.84
Record
65%
20047-10914 (30961)
Invested
$9.47
Value
—
PnL
-$9.47
Record
51%
36931-35385 (72316)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$2.42
Value
—
PnL
-$2.42
Record
49%
76371-79329 (155700)
Invested
$7.2
Value
$10.14
PnL
+$2.94
Record
55%
16550-13280 (29830)
Invested
$10.39
Value
—
PnL
-$10.39
Record
51%
6132-5801 (11933)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.4
Value
—
PnL
-$2.4
Record
46%
37328-43529 (80857)
Invested
$0.01
Value
—
PnL
-$0.01
Record
66%
109300-55693 (164993)
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